Sunday, January 5, 2020

77th Golden Globe Awards Predictions: Film Edition [Contributor: Chelsea]

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The only real value the Golden Globes have on the awards season is that they’re a televised award and it gives any winner the chance to make a great first impression on the awards season. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association is made up of roughly 90 members that range from journalists to photographers that report on the entertainment industry for magazines, newspapers, television and radio broadcasting overseas. They’re dubious at best with their love of nominating movie stars so they’ll show up at their ceremony, but they somehow matter when it comes to awards.

Best Motion Picture — Drama
The Irishman
The Two Popes
Marriage Story

Frontrunner: The Irishman
My vote: Marriage Story
Dark horse: 1917

This is a predictably boring category that would have been much better with Little Women or if they had let the Foreign Language nominees compete here. I refuse to give any love to Joker, though it has a real chance of sweeping all its nominations if the HFPA wants to be chaotic. But they should do the right thing and reward The Irishman or Marriage Story. Perfect little films that have something to say about the world and will be remembered ten years from now.

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Best Motion Picture  Musical or Comedy
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Knives Out
Dolemite Is My Name
Jojo Rabbit

Frontrunner: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
My vote: Knives Out
Dark horse: Jojo Rabbit

I am calling category fraud on Once Upon a Time in Hollywood but the Globes be Globes-ing. Lookout for Jojo Rabbit though. It’s a very easy film to like and they just awarded Green Book here last year when bigger films like The Favourite and Vice were right there. Knives Out has proven to be a huge hit though, so look out for that sneaking in Grand Budapest Hotel-style.

Best Motion Picture  Foreign Language
The Farewell
Pain and Glory
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Les Misérables

Frontrunner: Parasite
My vote: Portrait of a Lady on Fire
Dark horse: The Farewell

This is truly the most exciting category with four perfect films and one pretty solid one. Parasite should take this easily but I can always dream about the others having a chance. 15/10 would recommend all of these.

Best Director  Motion Picture
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam Mendes, 1917
Todd Phillips, Joker

Frontrunner: Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
My vote: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Dark horse: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

It would be so easy for Tarantino to sweep this awards season but the film everybody loves is Parasite, and we cannot deny the masterful direction of Director Bong. I’d have more faith in Martin Scorsese if DeNiro had been nominated, but I think the de-aging works against The Irishman and that comes back to the director. If Todd Phillips wins when Martin Scorsese is right there though, I might have to give up on the Globes.

Best Screenplay  Motion Picture
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Anthony McCarten, The Two Popes
Bong Joon-ho and Han Jin-won, Parasite
Steven Zaillian, The Irishman

Frontrunner: Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
My vote: Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Dark horse: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

Tarantino is always a favorite for these writing awards but it would be delightful if Bong or Baumbach could sneak in and snatch this one. Both of those scripts are so detailed and precise and should be studied in screenwriting classes.

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Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama
Renée Zellweger, Judy
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

Frontrunner: Renée Zellweger, Judy
My vote: Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Dark horse: Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

Little Women is everything and Saoirse brings new life and perspective to this lovely character so many of us grew up with. Watching Johansson took me back to my childhood and how broken but strong my mother was during my parents' messy divorce. Noah Baumbach put so much love and care into that character and Scarlett killed it. Renée is great in Judy but Judy is a film that won’t exist a year from now.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture  Drama
Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Frontrunner: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
My vote: Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Dark horse: Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Hoping the Hollywood FOREIGN Press Association takes note of the only Foreign Language performance and blesses us with a warm and delightful speech from Antonio Banderas. Adam Driver is the only other worthy winner to me, but I expect this organization to continue their nonsense from last year and give it to the only movie I truly hate this season.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture  Musical or Comedy
Awkwafina, The Farewell
Beanie Feldstein, Booksmart
Ana de Armas, Knives Out
Emma Thompson, Late Night
Cate Blanchett, Where’d You Go, Bernadette?

Frontrunner: Awkwafina, The Farewell
My vote: Beanie Feldstein, Booksmart
Dark horse: Ana de Armas, Knives Out

This is one of the few categories that is genuinely exciting, even with a wild Cate Blanchett nomination. Awkwafina, Feldstein, and de Armas are all insanely amazing but Awkwafina carries her film.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Musical or Comedy
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name
Daniel Craig, Knives Out
Taron Egerton, Rocketman
Roman Griffin Davis, Jojo Rabbit

Frontrunner: Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
My vote: Daniel Craig, Knives Out
Dark horse: Taron Egerton, Rocketman

Unlike the Academy, the HFPA has no problem rewarding Leo and I bet most groups feel silly rushing to give him awards for The Revenant when he gave a career best performance this past year. He should worry about Egerton with Rocketman because the Globes do love their musicals and Taron is great as Elton.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Margot Robbie, Bombshell
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Annette Bening, The Report

Frontrunner: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
My vote: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Dark horse: Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers

I am delighted to no end to see Annette Bening even in this conversation and had Amazon done a better job campaigning the film, she’d be a proper contender. Thankfully I want to live in a world where Laura Dern sweeps an awards season and I cannot wait to hear her speech.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

Frontrunner: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
My vote: Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Dark horse: Al Pacino, The Irishman

My dream would be Tom Hanks or even Joe Pesci but I don’t see a world in which the HFPA doesn’t reward Brad Pitt with this career achievement. Hanks is getting a proper Lifetime Achievement Award during the ceremony, so expect Pitt to begin his Oscar sweep.

Best Motion Picture  Animated
Frozen 2
Toy Story 4
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Missing Link
The Lion King

Frontrunner: Toy Story 4
My vote: How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Dark horse: Frozen 2

Disney and Pixar are fighting for this win with their billion dollar “good but not great” sequels. Hopefully they split their own vote and something like the tragically unrecognized How To Train Your Dragon franchise finally wins, but we must not raise our hopes that high.

Best Original Score  Motion Picture
Thomas Newman, 1917
Hildur Guonadottir, Joker
Randy Newman, Marriage Story
Alexandre Desplat, Little Women
Daniel Pemberton, Motherless Brooklyn

Frontrunner: Alexandre Desplat, Little Women
My vote: Alexandre Desplat, Little Women
Dark horse: Randy Newman, Marriage Story

There’s no rhyme or reason to the nomination decisions the HFPA make, but I am so happy to see both Marriage Story and Little Women represented. Both would be worthy winners but I give the edge to Desplat as he has been a Globe favorite the last 16 years.

Best Original Song  Motion Picture
“(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again,” Rocketman
“Spirit,” The Lion King
“Into the Unknown,” Frozen 2
“Stand Up,” Harriet
“Beautiful Ghosts,” Cats

Frontrunner: “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again,” Rocketman
My vote: “Stand Up,” Harriet
Dark horse: “Into the Unknown,” Frozen 2

A lot of people forget that “Let It Go” lost Best Song to “Ordinary Love” from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom, a film that fully does not exist, so I’m hesitant for the HFPA to anoint Frozen 2 when the star power of Rocketman is right there. This category doesn’t have any good songs but I would love to see Cynthia Erivo give a speech Sunday night.

Stay tuned for Chelsea's television predictions!


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